ERBIL, Kurdistan Region - The Islamic State (ISIS) remains a serious and ongoing threat to stability in Iraq, Syria and the wider region, though it is unlikely to launch another full-scale war, Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein has told Rudaw.
In an interview with Rudaw's Sangar Abdulrahman on Monday, Hussein warned that ISIS could still conduct terrorist attacks and that risks emanate from thousands of ISIS prisoners held in Syria. About 7,000 are expected to be transferred to Iraq by the US military.
Hussein said ISIS “remains and it exists.” While the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), the Iraqi military and the Peshmerga led ground operations alongside a US-led military coalition to defeat ISIS territorially in Iraq and Syria, remnants of the group are considered an ongoing threat to international security.
Hussein said that while ISIS is unlikely to take over vast swaths of territory as they did in 2014, “terrorist activity is always dangerous.” He expressed deep concern over thousands of ISIS detainees in SDF-managed prisons - particularly in northeastern Hasaka province - noting their escape or release would threaten Iraq and neighboring countries.
Hussein made the remarks amid instability in northeast Syria (Rojava), where the Syrian Arab Army and allied groups have launched a large-scale operation against Kurdish forces who control prisons holding thousands of ISIS militants. ISIS fighters escaped a major prison that came under attack, triggering alarm from the international community and a UN Security Council hearing last week.
A ceasefire between the Syrian Arab Army and the SDF has been extended through February 8 to allow for the US to transfer prisoners to Iraq.
Hussein said discussions were held on transferring ISIS prisoners to Iraq, but the details remain unresolved.
“Transferring 8,000 to 9,000 terrorists first requires special prisons, which we don’t have,” he said, adding that many detainees are foreign nationals whose countries refuse to repatriate them.
Hussein said instability and clashes involving the SDF and Arab tribes in Syria heighten the risk of ISIS regrouping. Tribes once allied with the SDF are now fighting against them, Hussein noted, describing the situation as “very dangerous,” particularly around detention facilities holding senior ISIS figures.
Despite these challenges, Hussein said Iraq’s security forces are far better prepared than in the past. He asserted that while ISIS remains a threat, “it cannot be compared with 2014.”
On Iraqi politics, Hussein confirmed the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) is prepared to hand over its federal posts to the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) in exchange for the presidency if they agree on a candidate.
“Whatever positions we have… would be given to them,” he said, adding that talks are ongoing.
Regionally, Hussein warned that tensions between Israel and Iran, as well as between Tehran and Washington, are intensifying. He said the lack of dialogue between the United States and Iran - and the risk that escalating rhetoric could trigger conflict - were contributing to “more complications” in the region.
The following is the full transcript of the interview with Fuad Hussein, Iraq’s Minister of Foreign Affairs.
Sangar Abdulrahman, Rudaw: I’m in Baghdad and sense that there’s momentum to postpone Tuesday’s parliamentary session for the presidential vote. Will it be delayed?
Fuad Hussein, Iraqi Foreign Minister: This proposal exists and it’s been discussed. The proposal was made by both the PUK [Patriotic Union of Kurdistan] and the KDP [Kurdistan Democratic Party], but Shiite leaders have also made this suggestion. I believe the meeting will be postponed.
To when?
From what I know, to Sunday.
Will you stay in the race as the KDP candidate?
Yes.
Today I saw something on several [social media] pages suggesting you had withdrawn, but I didn't believe it.
I haven’t withdrawn; this is also propaganda.
Is this propaganda, you continue?
Correct.
Do you have the coordination and support required to become president?
Support from whom?
Members of Parliament, the blocs?
Well, during this period, I have been in close contact with everyone - all parties, leaders, and blocs. I went to Parliament and received hundreds of messages from MPs. To be honest, thank God, people speak highly of our reputation, our work and our history. Thank God, our situation is good.
Do you predict the conflict will be settled in your favor in the first round [of presidential voting]?
We will wait, but because 220 votes are needed in the first round, and because there are 18 candidates, this means the votes will be divided [among them.] No one will win in the first round; it will go to a second round of the vote.
Who will make it to the second round?
Well, I cannot speak to that now, but I have confidence that I will make it to the second round.
What happens in the second round?
I don’t know. That is the decision of the MPs. It is difficult to say "this is what will happen" in Parliament or to decide for them. I leave the decision to the members of Parliament.
The members of Parliament or the political blocs?
Both. Because I am in Baghdad, I know the political parties, the leaders and the MPs well. There’s a situation in Baghdad where some political forces [parties] follow their leaders’ decisions. But with other political forces [parties], the MPs aren’t as committed to their leaders' decisions. This means they’re free to decide and vote as they wish, and that makes a difference.
So you are looking toward both?
I am looking toward the members of Parliament, the blocs and the political party leaders. You must work at every level, and we have worked for it.
Why couldn't you reach an agreement with the PUK or other Kurdish forces [parties] on a joint candidate?
Personally, I believe that Kurdish political forces need to have a unified stance. I would like them to be unified in Kurdistan, but in Baghdad, unity is essential. Unfortunately, the reality is that they are not unified, and we have not been together so far. I don’t know if we’ll reach an agreement in the next three or four days. I don’t know.
With whom?
With the PUK.
On what?
To have one candidate. If we reach that agreement, it would be a good thing.
Does this relate to other matters?
It relates to the fact that the KDP is ready to hand over the positions it currently holds to the PUK in exchange for the presidency, if we reach an agreement.
Meaning if there’s a mutually agreed upon candidate, it will be you and not a PUK candidate?
Yes. Meaning we reach an agreement. The KDP and PUK will reach an agreement that…
On nominating you?
Yes, that’s true. In return, the positions the KDP holds in Baghdad would be given to them.
Do you mean the Deputy Speaker of Parliament post?
All of them. Whatever positions we have.
And the other ministers?
The positions we have. What do we have? We have [the positions of] Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Minister of Construction [and Housing] and the Deputy Speaker of Parliament.
So all of those would go to the PUK?
The PUK positions would be ours.
Have you officially given [this proposal] to the PUK?
We’re currently discussing it.
Officially?
We will also give it [to them] officially.
Will you give them [the posts] to the PUK?
We will officially give them [the positions]. And we will formally discuss it with them.
So, all those other positions the KDP holds would be given to the PUK in exchange for the post of president?
That is correct.
Do you think the PUK will agree to that?
I don't know.
What if they don't agree?
If they don't agree, it means we’ll enter Parliament as competitors.
What if the PUK says, ‘All our positions are for you, but you need to give up the post of president?’
What do they have?
Minister of Justice…
No, no, even if they have everything… they have the presidency. If they give the presidency [position to KDP], that’s it. Because they have the presidency, it’s not with us.
I mean, they hold the presidency now.
No, Mr. Latif [Rashid became president] with our help and support. At the time, [Nouri] al-Maliki, [Mohammed] al-Halbousi, and Falih al-Fayyadh were against him until the last moment.
When he won the post, they immediately said he was PUK. We said, “Well, we didn't say he was KDP.” So in the end, he became president under the PUK name, but with the support of the KDP and other Arab political forces [parties].
My point is, if they say they will give the Ministry of Justice and the Ministry of Environment - which they hold - to the KDP in exchange for the presidency, would you [KDP] agree? Meaning, reversing your proposal to the PUK.
Well, in that case, the presidency must come to us. You mean they give us those two ministries in exchange for the presidency? That would mean four ministries for the KDP. They haven't proposed this, but if they do, we’ll think about it then.
There’s another suggestion, Doctor: Among those 18 candidates, some are hoping that the conflict between the KDP and PUK will work in their favor.
I don’t believe that would be successful. They’re good people, but in this struggle and negotiation, the issue is between the PUK and the KDP, that they both agree on one person between themselves. Because if you say “this in exchange for that,” then what about the others who have nothing to offer? How would that work?
If you become president, what promises will you make for Iraq?
You know, I was in Baghdad in 2003. Initially, I was an adviser in the Ministry of Education, then a member of the Governing Council. Later, when I was in Kurdistan [as chief of staff to President Masoud Barzani], almost the entire Baghdad file was with me. It was related to the presidency, but also related to other political forces [parties] and blocs. They were all with me.
I’ve seen the problems, studied them, and thought about their solutions - both then and now that I intend to become president. If I’m in that post - the president can do many things. Some people think the presidency is only ceremonial; it's true there is a ceremonial aspect, but it has many executive duties as well. Within the framework of the constitution, the presidency is also a political position.
It’s impossible for the country to have problems [and for the president not to act] - such as the problem between the Kurdistan Region and Baghdad, or problems between parties. The president's job is to bring those people together, find solutions and bring people closer to one another.
Furthermore, it is the duty to protect the constitution, because the constitution is basically protected by the president. If the government or a party opposes the constitution, the president must speak up. The president can be active. From a political standpoint, the president can have relationships with world leaders.
Do you have complaints against previous presidents?
I am not in a position to complain. Because every time someone was president, the situation was very different; every person has an understanding of the presidency. I leave this for historians to evaluate the president’s [performance]. But you asked me what I will be doing, I’ll be an active president. My nature is such that wherever I have been, first, I was committed to the place; second, I was loyal to my work; and third, I was active.
And fourth is that you don't get tired.
That’s also true, as you say. I thank you. I work about 12 to 13 hours daily. It is the same now. If you work for 12 to 13 hours, you can do a lot of things.
I can testify to that; there are times I call you at 12 midnight and we talk.
Yes, thank God.
Thank God. Wishing you good health, Doctor. You mentioned the constitution: How will you protect the constitutional commitments in Iraq?
We have a problem. From my experience working in Baghdad, both after the changes [in 2003], and after 2005 when the constitution was new, and during the time we monitored the situation in Baghdad from Kurdistan, I’ve realized we have a problem.
In reality, we have a very good constitution, but many constitutional articles haven’t become law. When you don’t turn a constitutional article into law, a gap is created - a legal vacuum. What fills that gap? The old laws. What are the old laws? Most of them are laws from the era of Saddam Hussein. How do the laws of the Saddam Hussein era fit with a constitution full of democracy, openness, a free economy and a federal country?
Our main problem is that many articles haven't been made into laws. Second, understanding of the constitution is low in our country. The parliament, government, and parties need to better understand the constitution, and we need to commit to it. The problem with commitment is that when you are committed to an article, you need a law to implement that article, but the law doesn't exist.
The main dispute between the Region and Baghdad, when I looked into the heart of the problem, is this: When the people of Kurdistan speak, they talk about their rights within the framework of the constitution, which is correct and their right. But Baghdad officials talk about the law. The laws they talk about are old laws related to the past. This constitution the people of Kurdistan talk about is correct, but the laws for it haven't been issued.
This constitution needs to be turned into laws and many of its articles need to become the foundation of legislation; this is the solution to the problem. For example, one of those problems is the oil issue. To be honest, in the Kurdistan Region we observe the constitution; in Baghdad, they talk about the law, and the law is from the era of Saddam Hussein.
Do you anticipate that the oil and gas law will be passed in the next parliamentary term?
If God wills and I become president, certainly one of the main tasks I will strive for will be to pass the oil and gas law, because the president also has the right to submit draft laws.
There is a draft that has been edited several times; is that what you mean?
That draft goes back to 2007 and it was later edited several times. It doesn't matter whether there’s a draft or not, because those drafts can be utilized. But in any case, the draft oil and gas law must be submitted so that this problem can be solved legally and within the framework of the constitution.
We talked about oil; is Kurdistan Region oil currently being exported without issue?
According to my information, yes, it continues.
How many [barrels] are exported daily?
I don’t know. When exporting started, it was 230,000 barrels, but honestly, I don't know what it is now.
The [Baghdad-Kurdistan Region agreement to export oil to Turkey] ends on March 31. Do you think it will be extended? The agreement was every three months; initially until December 31, then extended for another three months until March 31.
I predict... you know, the situation in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Region is favorable for resolving these problems.
I mean, won’t the Kurdistan Region oil exports be halted again?
I don’t think so.
Has this impacted the new agreements for [civil servants'] salaries between Erbil and Baghdad?
Certainly. When the discussions were held, and later salaries were provided, part of it was related to the oil issue. When oil was exported, the issues of oil and non-oil revenue were on the table, and they were all interconnected. When the salary problem was solved, the issue of non-oil revenue naturally came forward, and I believe that has also been solved to an extent.
Every time we do an interview, you say “don't talk about salaries,” but the people are waiting, so I am sure you...
No, the people have their right; certainly, the situation is difficult. Salaries affect people's lives, and I understand that.
Every time you say, ‘I am busy with my own work.’
No, I was busy with that issue as well. Because every time salaries were halted, I got involved and was part of the solution.
That’s exactly why I always ask you about salaries. I know what your role is. Are there any problems with January salaries as of now?
Based on my understanding, legally there is no problem with January’s salaries.
